Occupation: Economist Birth: 1929 Death: March 15, 2003
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers..
Economists state their GNP growth projections to the nearest tenth of a percentage point to prove they have a sense of humor..
When you know absolutely nothing about the topic, make your forecast by asking a carefully selected probability sample of 300 others who don't know t….
Forecasters tend to learn less and less about more and more, until in the end they know nothing about everything..
Ask five economists and you'll get five different answers - six if one went to Harvard..
For economist the real world is often a special case..
If you have to forecast, forecast often..