Occupation: Economist
OPEC production went from 30 million barrels a day to 33 million. They flooded the market, and it's lost them a lot of money. Look at the Saudis: the….
I said earlier [2015] year that I thought we'd get to 10 or 20 bucks [per barrel ] because that's the marginal cost, and when you're in a price war, ….
Let's say [Donald] Trump wins. Is Congress going to let him build a wall on the Mexican border? I don't think so..
TPP is dead anyway, and similar deals in the eurozone are going nowhere..
[Donald Trump] is so unpredictable that foreigners are going to look around and say "boy, we've got to head for the safe havens." And one of the safe….
Investors aren't willing to accept the idea that we're in an era of lower returns..
If you look back historically at the post-WWII period on average, if you get a 100-basis-point increase in Fed funds, the spillover to the ten-year i….
We've seen that in the past that where you've had uncertainty, and even where the Fed is raising rates, Treasurys rise as everybody heads for safety..
Bloomberg TVThe one thing I think is likely to happen under either candidate is massive fiscal stimulus. You have so many voters in Western Europe an….
If someone loves you, they can fall out of love with you but they're probably going to keep fearing you. That's where we are with [Donald] Trump..
Treasurys, as low as yields are, are higher than they are in most other developed countries..
We're in a pretty tumultuous world, and there's a lot of uncertainty. Treasurys are where people go as one of the few safe havens in the world..
If Hillary [Clinton] is elected, is she going to be able to jack up taxes with virtually no deductions, and include capital gains? Unless democrats h….
One of the things I think is very likely is that with the prospects of robust fiscal stimulus in response to voters mad as hell, the Fed is going to ….
Despite the recent conviction of many that we're headed back to inflation, I think deflation remains the more likely prospect. You've just got too mu….
Treasurys, as low as yields are, are higher than they are in most other developed countries. A foreign investor picks up a yield spread in Treasurys ….
[Niccolò] Machiavelli said it's better to be feared than to be loved..
A [Donald] Trump win might be bad for stocks, but it would be very positive for the dollar and Treasurys..
Yes, we're in a protectionist era because when you have lack of domestic growth, everybody tries to unload the problem on foreigners with protectioni….
The Fed wants to raise rates because they've been yelling and screaming about it. They've been crying wolf for so long that their credibility is shot….