Occupation: Professor Birth: 1954
My driving style is alert. As a forecaster, I can't help but think about who else is on the road and how little attention they are paying to their dr….
We've become more and more interrupt-driven. If you have six tasks to do in an hour, you can't just take 60 minutes and divide and have 10 minutes pe….
You don't want to rely on an expert to tell you what lies ahead..
When I lived in Japan in the 1980s, I once was mistaken for Paul Newman, and I didn't have much more hair than I do now. My first reaction was that s….
Digital technology is the solvent leaching the glue out of all of our traditional institutions..
There is reason to be scared. Look at what has happened with fundamentalism - this is a reaction against modernity. It happens to be cloaked in relig….
People were touchingly naive at the dawn of the Internet revolution when they said the Internet will route around censorship the way it routes around….
I would say digital technology probably doesn't have much impact on us so far. We've seen photographs of people from when they are alive. We see home….
Each time you toss out a 'singing' greeting card, you are disposing of more computing power than existed in the entire world before 1950..
Any thinking person is qualified to be a forecaster, and in fact, everybody does it every day..
When everybody else is in a down market is focusing on what they're doing wrong, instead focus on what you should be doing differently, it may be tha….
Before the iPhone, cyberspace was something you went to your desk to visit. Now cyberspace is something you carry in your pocket..
Think about reading: Today, parents would love it if their kids read books more because the parents understand the books. Just over 100 years ago, pa….
More information and more communications foster world peace and understanding. But connecting extremist nut cases together on the Web - whatever flav….
This new economy that's just emerged has a new central economic actor. It's not the worker, the person who produces, nor the person who consumes, the….
The thing I see happening is that there's a real compression between generations. There used to be about 20 years difference (in technology use). Now….
I don't think information overload is a function of the volume of information. It's a derivative of the volume of information plus the sense-making t….
The goal of forecasting is not to predict the future but to tell you what you need to know to take meaningful action in the present.
The curse of cyberspace is that everything we want to preserve will get lost and everything we want to lose will be preserved..
We tend to use a new technology to do an old task more efficiently. We pave the cow paths..
Every day huge amounts of information break off like icebergs and melt away. What worries me is that much information in electronic form is never red….