Almost all thinking people agree that you should not have probability 1 (or 0) for any event, other than one demonstrable by logic, like 2 x 2 = 4.
Uncertainty is a personal matter; it is not the uncertainty but your uncertainty. - Dennis Lindley
Uncertainty is a personal matter; it is not the uncertainty but your uncertainty.
- Dennis Lindley
I believe that almost all important, useful ideas are simple. Peter Whittle has recently put it nicely in an autobiographical essay. "If a piece of w… - Dennis Lindley
I believe that almost all important, useful ideas are simple. Peter Whittle has recently put it nicely in an autobiographical essay. "If a piece of w…
The grand assertion is that you must see the world through probability and that probability is the only guide you need. - Dennis Lindley
The grand assertion is that you must see the world through probability and that probability is the only guide you need.
Whatever way uncertainty is approached, probability is the only sound way to think about it. - Dennis Lindley
Whatever way uncertainty is approached, probability is the only sound way to think about it.
Consider the case of a person who holds a view with probability 1. Then coherence says that it is no use having a debate with them because nothing wi… - Dennis Lindley
Consider the case of a person who holds a view with probability 1. Then coherence says that it is no use having a debate with them because nothing wi…
Almost all thinking people agree that you should not have probability 1 (or 0) for any event, other than one demonstrable by logic, like 2 x 2 = 4. - Dennis Lindley
It is not surprising that in talking about uncertainty we should lean heavily on facts, just as the court of law does when interrogating witnesses. F… - Dennis Lindley
It is not surprising that in talking about uncertainty we should lean heavily on facts, just as the court of law does when interrogating witnesses. F…
In my opinion, it helps enormously to know why something is true, rather than being told it is true, for why should you believe me? Never believe any… - Dennis Lindley
In my opinion, it helps enormously to know why something is true, rather than being told it is true, for why should you believe me? Never believe any…
Utility is the emotion pleading to be let into the house of pure reason and thereby enriching it. - Dennis Lindley
Utility is the emotion pleading to be let into the house of pure reason and thereby enriching it.
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