Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.
When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it. - Nate Silver
When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.
- Nate Silver
We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick… - Nate Silver
We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick…
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns repre… - Nate Silver
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns repre…
Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician. - Nate Silver
Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it. - Nate Silver
We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. - Nate Silver
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth. - Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. - Nate Silver
We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.
There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. - Nate Silver
There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.
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