Tiny differences in input could quickly become overwhelming differences in output.... In weather, for example, this translates into what is only half-jokingly known as the Butter- fly Effect—the notion that a butterfly stirring the air today in Peking can transform storm systems next month in New York.
Future generations will wonder in bemused amazement that the early 21st century's developed world went into hysterical panic over a globally averaged temperature increase of a few tenths of a degree, and, on the basis of gross exaggerations of highly uncertain computer projections combined into implausible chains of inference, proceeded to contemplate a roll-back of the industrial age.
Interpretation
What this quote means
This quote highlights the absurdity of fear surrounding minor temperature increases and the drastic measures considered in response.
Richard Lindzen's quote critiques the panic exhibited by societies in the early 21st century regarding climate change, suggesting that future generations will view such reactions as exaggerated and irrational. He points to the reliance on uncertain computer models and implausible reasoning that led to calls for drastic reductions in industrial activity, reflecting on how overreactions to minor changes can lead to extreme solutions.
Themes
In practice
Example use cases
In a documentary discussing climate policy, this quote can be used to illustrate the extremes of public reaction.
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