In short, you can't let the deadline define the mission. The mission has to define the duration.
Richard HolbrookeRead
You have to test your hypothesis against other theories. Certainty in the face of complex situations is very dangerous.
Interpretation
This quote emphasizes the importance of validating assumptions with various perspectives and warns against overconfidence in uncertain situations.
Richard Holbrooke underscores the necessity of rigorously testing one's theories against alternative viewpoints, especially when navigating complex scenarios. The quote highlights the potential risks associated with being overly certain without sufficient evidence, advocating for a more cautious and open-minded approach to understanding the complexities of real-world situations.
In practice
In a debate about climate change, this quote can be used to emphasize the need for thorough investigation and open-mindedness.
In short, you can't let the deadline define the mission. The mission has to define the duration.
If a country denies it has AIDS, that country will inevitably become an even greater victim.
United Nations peacekeepers are going all over the world spreading AIDS even while they're trying to bring peace. What a supreme irony.
World War I was not inevitable, as many historians say. It could have been avoided, and it was a diplomatically botched negotiation.
A world without the United Nations or with a paralyzed United Nations would be far more costly to all of us and far more dangerous to peace and stability.
Astronomy is perhaps the science whose discoveries owe least to chance, in which human understanding appears in its whole magnitude, and through which man can best learn how small he is.
When a physician is called to a patient, he should decide on the diagnosis, then the prognosis, and then the treatment. ... Physicians must know the evolution of the disease, its duration and gravity in order to predict its course and outcome. Here statistics intervene to guide physicians, by teaching them the proportion of mortal cases, and if observation has also shown that the successful and unsuccessful cases can be recognized by certain signs, then the prognosis is more certain.
The paleoclimate record shouts to us that, far from being self-stabilizing, the Earth's climate system is an ornery beast which overreacts even to small nudges.
When, as we must often do, we fear science, we really fear ourselves.
Yet if anyone believes that the earth rotates, surely he will hold that its motion is natural, not violent.
Do not imagine that mathematics is hard and crabbed, and repulsive to common sense. It is merely the etherealization of common sense.
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