The increase of disorder or entropy with time is one example of what is called an arrow of time, something that distinguishes the past from the future, giving a direction to time.
No one trusts a model except the man who wrote it; everyone trusts an observation, except the man who made it.
Interpretation
What this quote means
Trust is often misplaced in models created by individuals yet placed in observations made by others.
This quote by Harlow Shapley emphasizes the inherent skepticism that exists in the realm of scientific modeling versus direct observation. Models, which are often abstractions created from theoretical understanding, may not always be trusted by those who are familiar with their limitations, while direct observations tend to carry more weight and credibility in the scientific community, despite the possibility of bias from the observer themselves. This paradox underscores the complexities of trust in scientific endeavors and the different weights we give to theory versus empirical evidence.
Themes
In practice
Example use cases
In a discussion about scientific methodology, this quote could be used to highlight the importance of empirical evidence over theoretical frameworks.
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Scientific facts are often described in textbooks as if they just sort of exist, like nickels someone picked up on the street. But science at the cutting edge, conducted by sharp minds probing deep into nature, is not about self-evident facts. It is about mystery and not knowing. It is about taking huge risks.
It is generally believed that our science is empirical and that we draw our concepts and our mathematical constructs from the empirical data. If this were the whole truth, we should, when entering into a new field, introduce only such quantities as can directly be observed, and formulate natural laws only by means of these quantities.
To come very near to a true theory, and to grasp its precise application, are two different things, as the history of science teaches us. Everything of importance has been said before by someone who did not discover it.