The role of radiologists will evolve from doing perceptual things that could probably be done by a highly trained pigeon to doing far more cognitive things.
In science, you can say things that seem crazy, but in the long run, they can turn out to be right. We can get really good evidence, and in the end, the community will come around.
Interpretation
What this quote means
Science often challenges conventional wisdom, and what seems crazy today might be proven correct in the future.
Geoffrey Hinton's quote reflects the essence of scientific inquiry and the evolution of ideas. It emphasizes that within the scientific community, unconventional thoughts and hypotheses can initially be dismissed as absurd, yet as evidence accumulates over time, these ideas may eventually gain acceptance and recognition. This highlights the dynamic nature of scientific progress and the importance of maintaining an open mind towards new and seemingly outrageous suggestions, as they can lead to significant breakthroughs.
Themes
In practice
Example use cases
During a scientific conference, one might use this quote to encourage researchers to present their novel ideas without fear of criticism.
More from Geoffrey Hinton
All quotes →Everybody right now, they look at the current technology, and they think, 'OK, that's what artificial neural nets are.' And they don't realize how arbitrary it is. We just made it up! And there's no reason why we shouldn't make up something else.
In the long run, curiosity-driven research just works better... Real breakthroughs come from people focusing on what they're excited about.
Most people in AI, particularly the younger ones, now believe that if you want a system that has a lot of knowledge in, like an amount of knowledge that would take millions of bits to quantify, the only way to get a good system with all that knowledge in it is to make it learn it. You are not going to be able to put it in by hand.
I have always been convinced that the only way to get artificial intelligence to work is to do the computation in a way similar to the human brain. That is the goal I have been pursuing. We are making progress, though we still have lots to learn about how the brain actually works.
In a sensibly organised society, if you improve productivity, there is room for everybody to benefit.
Similar quotes
Quantum mechanics brought an unexpected fuzziness into physics because of quantum uncertainty, the Heisenberg uncertainty principle. String theory does so again because a point particle is replaced by a string, which is more spread out.
A very great deal more truth can become known than can be proven.
The thing I'm most interested in is the nervous system. How do brains grow? How do genes build complicated nervous systems?
And what I wanted to do was, I wanted to explore problems and areas where we didn't have answers. In fact, where we didn't even know the right questions to ask.
It is a good principle in science not to believe any 'fact'---however well attested---until it fits into some accepted frame of reference. Occasionally, of course, an observation can shatter the frame and force the construction of a new one, but that is extremely rare. Galileos and Einsteins seldom appear more than once per century, which is just as well for the equanimity of mankind.
I think China knows that in the early stages of Covid, it didn't do what it needed to do, which was to, in real time, give access to international experts, in real time to share information, in real time to provide real transparency.