Without any doubt, the regularity which astronomy shows us in the movements of the comets takes place in all phenomena. The trajectory of a simple molecule of air or vapour is regulated in a manner as certain as that of the planetary orbits; the only difference between them is that which is contributed by our ignorance. Probability is relative in part to this ignorance, and in part to our knowledge.
Interpretation
This quote highlights the deterministic nature of the universe, suggesting that all phenomena follow predictable patterns, much like the orbits of celestial bodies.
In this quote, Pierre-Simon Laplace emphasizes that the certainty observed in astronomical movements extends to all aspects of nature, including the behavior of molecules. He suggests that the only true distinction between the predictable trajectories of comets and those of smaller particles lies in human ignorance, meaning that greater knowledge can lead to a clearer understanding of these phenomena. Thus, probability itself is influenced by both what we know and what we do not know.
In practice
During a lecture on the predictability of physical laws.
It is interesting thus to follow the intellectual truths of analysis in the phenomena of nature. This correspondence, of which the system of the world will offer us numerous examples, makes one of the greatest charms attached to mathematical speculations.
All the effects of Nature are only the mathematical consequences of a small number of immutable laws.
The word 'chance' then expresses only our ignorance of the causes of the phenomena that we observe to occur and to succeed one another in no apparent order. Probability is relative in part to this ignorance, and in part to our knowledge.
Given for one instant an intelligence which could comprehend all the forces by which nature is animated and the respective positions of the beings which compose it, if moreover this intelligence were vast enough to submit these data to analysis, it would embrace in the same formula both the movements of the largest bodies in the universe and those of the lightest atom; to it nothing would be uncertain, and the future as the past would be present to its eye.
The weight of evidence for an extraordinary claim must be proportioned to its strangeness.
Probability theory is nothing but common sense reduced to calculation.
The universe is almost like a huge magic trick and scientists are trying to figure out how it does what it does.
What we can be scientifically certain of is that our continued use of fossil fuels is pushing us to a point of no return
Even if 'going retrograde' or 'moving into Aquarius' were real phenomena, something that planets actually do, what influence could they possibly have on human events? A planet is so far away that its gravitational pull on a new-born baby would be swamped by the gravitational pull of the doctor's paunch.
What sense would it make or what would it benfit a physician if he discovered the origin of the diseases but could not cure or alleviate them?
Science is what we have learned about how to keep from fooling ourselves.
If the code does indeed have some logical foundation then it is legitimate to consider all the evidence, both good and bad, in any attempt to deduce it.
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