Spend some effort in figuring out why each decision did or did not pan out. Doing that systematically is key: really try to question the way you make….

We're not aware of changing our minds even when we do change our minds. And most people, after they change their minds, reconstruct their past opinio….

To better avoid errors, you should talk to people who disagree with you and you should talk to people who are not in the same emotional situation you….

The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to con….