The average investor's return is significantly lower than market indices due primarily to market timing.
Daniel KahnemanRead
We think, each of us, that we're much more rational than we are. And we think that we make our decisions because we have good reasons to make them. Even when it's the other way around. We believe in the reasons, because we've already made the decision.
Interpretation
Our beliefs about our rationality often blind us to the true nature of our decision-making processes.
In this quote, Daniel Kahneman emphasizes how humans tend to overestimate their rationality and the motivations behind their decisions. He argues that we frequently construct justifications for our choices after making them, rather than making decisions based on objective reasoning. This suggests a fundamental bias in our self-perception, where we fail to recognize the influence of emotions and preconceived notions in our decision-making.
In practice
This quote can be used in a lecture about cognitive biases to highlight how people justify their decisions post hoc.
The average investor's return is significantly lower than market indices due primarily to market timing.
Banks are run by executives, and executives protect themselves, and that does not always mean that banks are going to behave rationally.
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You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior than by hearing surprising facts about people in general.
It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.
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Do not, however, mistake me. It is not to my good friend's heresy that I impute his honesty. On the contrary, 'tis his honesty that brought upon him the character of a heretic.
Never work just for money or for power. They won't save your soul or help you sleep at night.
Delusions are states of mind which, when they arise within our mental continuum, leave us disturbed, confused and unhappy. Therefore, those states of mind which delude or afflict us are called 'delusions.'
He has great tranquillity of heart who cares neither for the praises nor the fault-finding of men. He will easily be content and pacified, whose conscience is pure. You are not holier if you are praised, nor the more worthless if you are found fault with. What you are, that you are; neither by word can you be made greater than what you are in the sight of God.
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