The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.
True intuitive expertise is learned from prolonged experience with good feedback on mistakes. - Daniel Kahneman
True intuitive expertise is learned from prolonged experience with good feedback on mistakes.
- Daniel Kahneman
We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true. - Daniel Kahneman
We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true.
If owning stocks is a long-term project for you, following their changes constantly is a very, very bad idea. It's the worst possible thing you can d… - Daniel Kahneman
If owning stocks is a long-term project for you, following their changes constantly is a very, very bad idea. It's the worst possible thing you can d…
When people believe a conclusion is true, they are also very likely to believe arguments that appear to support it, even when these arguments are uns… - Daniel Kahneman
When people believe a conclusion is true, they are also very likely to believe arguments that appear to support it, even when these arguments are uns…
Happiness is determined by factors like your health, your family relationships and friendships, and above all by feeling that you are in control of h… - Daniel Kahneman
Happiness is determined by factors like your health, your family relationships and friendships, and above all by feeling that you are in control of h…
If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality. - Daniel Kahneman
If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality.
An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize… - Daniel Kahneman
An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize…
Every night for the next week, set aside ten minutes before you go to sleep. Write down three things that went well today and why they went well...Wr… - Daniel Kahneman
Every night for the next week, set aside ten minutes before you go to sleep. Write down three things that went well today and why they went well...Wr…
Mind is a machine for jumping to conclusions - Daniel Kahneman
Mind is a machine for jumping to conclusions
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