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This long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead. Economists set themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us that when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again.
John Maynard Keynes
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Interpretation

What this quote means

Keynes critiques the relevance of long-term economic predictions in the face of immediate challenges.

John Maynard Keynes emphasizes that focusing solely on long-term outcomes of economic policies can be misleading, particularly in times of crisis. He argues that during turbulent periods, the immediate realities and struggles of the present demand attention, as the future is uncertain and can render current concerns trivial if they are ignored.

Themes

EconomicsCrisisFuturePredictionsPresentKeynes

In practice

Example use cases

During a lecture on economic theories, this quote could highlight the importance of addressing current events.

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The book, as it stands, seems to me to be one of the most frightful muddles I have ever read, with scarcely a sound proposition in it beginning with page 45 [Hayek provided historical background up to page 45; after that came his theoretical model], and yet it remains a book of some interest, which is likely to leave its mark on the mind of the reader. It is an extraordinary example of how, starting with a mistake, a remorseless logician can end up in bedlam.
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If farming were to be organised like the stock market, a farmer would sell his farm in the morning when it was raining, only to buy it back in the afternoon when the sun came out.
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