When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.

- Nate Silver

We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

- Nate Silver

Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns repre…

- Nate Silver

Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.

- Nate Silver

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick…

- Nate Silver

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

- Nate Silver

The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.

- Nate Silver

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

- Nate Silver

There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

- Nate Silver