Your strength as a rationalist is your ability to be more confused by fiction than by reality. If you are equally good at explaining any outcome, you have zero knowledge.
Eliezer YudkowskyRead
The strength of a theory is not what it allows, but what it prohibits; if you can invent an equally persuasive explanation for any outcome, you have zero knowledge.
Interpretation
A strong theory is valuable for its ability to rule out false explanations, rather than just supporting any outcome.
This quote by Eliezer Yudkowsky emphasizes the importance of a robust theory in understanding phenomena. A strong theory should not only explain what happens but also restrict the possibilities of what could happen. If competing theories can equally justify any result, then they fail to enhance our understanding and demonstrate a lack of true knowledge.
In practice
In a science class while discussing hypothesis testing.
Your strength as a rationalist is your ability to be more confused by fiction than by reality. If you are equally good at explaining any outcome, you have zero knowledge.
If our extinction proceeds slowly enough to allow a moment of horrified realization, the doers of the deed will likely be quite taken aback on realizing that they have actually destroyed the world. Therefore I suggest that if the Earth is destroyed, it will probably be by mistake.
In our skulls, we carry around 3 pounds of slimy, wet, greyish tissue, corrugated like crumpled toilet paper. You wouldn't think, to look at the unappetizing lump, that it was some of the most powerful stuff in the known universe.
[...] intelligent people only have a certain amount of time (measured in subjective time spent thinking about religion) to become atheists. After a certain point, if you're smart, have spent time thinking about and defending your religion, and still haven't escaped the grip of Dark Side Epistemology, the inside of your mind ends up as an Escher painting.
The obvious choice isn't always the best choice, but sometimes, by golly, it is. I don't stop looking as soon I find an obvious answer, but if I go on looking, and the obvious-seeming answer still seems obvious, I don't feel guilty about keeping it.
When something is universal enough in our everyday lives, we take it for granted to the point of forgetting it exists.
Deep meaning lies often in childish play.
Having a strong sense of self is fundamental to you, no matter what you're doing. I don't care if you're a stay at home mom raising kids or if you're the CEO of a corporation. It's really important for your survival.
When I have clarified and exhausted a subject, then I turn away from it, in order to go into darkness again.
Hindsight is always twenty-twenty.
We can't have full knowledge all at once. We must start by believing; then afterwards we may be led on to master the evidence for ourselves.
The miser is as much in want of what he has as of what he has not.
Subscribe for the occasional hand-picked quote. No noise.