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Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended.
Vernor Vinge
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Interpretation

What this quote means

The quote suggests that advancements in technology will soon lead to the development of superhuman intelligence, which could ultimately change or end human dominance.

Vernor Vinge's quote reflects a profound concern about the future trajectory of technological development, specifically in the realm of artificial intelligence. He predicts that within the next thirty years, we will possess the tools necessary to create intelligence that surpasses human capabilities. This advancement could signal the end of the human era, as entities with superhuman intelligence may outpace us in terms of decision-making, understanding, and control over our lives and society.

Themes

TechnologyIntelligenceFutureHuman EraSuperhuman

In practice

Example use cases

During a tech conference discussing the future of AI, this quote can serve as a cautionary note about the rapid advancements in technology.

More from Vernor Vinge

Sometimes the biggest disasters aren't noticed at all – no one's around to write horror stories.
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We will soon create intelligences greater than our own ... When this happens, human history will have reached a kind of singularity, an intellectual transition as impenetrable as the knotted space-time at the center of a black hole, and the world will pass far beyond our understanding.
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Little fish risking everything for a piece of godhood...and not knowing heaven from hell, even when they find it.
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The problem is not simply that the Singularity represents the passing of humankind from center stage, but that it contradicts our most deeply held notions of being.
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