Nate Silver

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.

Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.

One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.