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No very deep knowledge of economics is usually needed for grasping the immediate effects of a measure; but the task of economics is to foretell the remoter effects, and so to allow us to avoid such acts as attempt to remedy a present ill by sowing the seeds of a much greater ill for the future.
Ludwig Von Mises
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Interpretation

What this quote means

Understanding economics involves recognizing both immediate and long-term effects of actions.

Ludwig Von Mises emphasizes the importance of foresight in economics. While it may be straightforward to understand the immediate impact of economic policies or measures, the true challenge lies in predicting their long-term consequences. Policymakers must be cautious not to address current problems with solutions that could lead to more significant issues in the future, thus highlighting the intricate and often unpredictable nature of economic systems.

Themes

EconomicsForesightPolicyConsequencesCaution

In practice

Example use cases

In a lecture on economic policy, I quoted Mises to remind students of the importance of considering long-term impacts.

More from Ludwig Von Mises

The idea that political freedom can be preserved in the absence of economic freedom, and vice versa, is an illusion. Political freedom is the corollary of economic freedom.
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Only stilted pedants can conceive the idea that there are absolute norms to tell what is beautiful and what is not. They try to derive from the works of the past a code of rules with which, as they fancy, the writers and artists of the future should comply. But the genius does not cooperate with the pundit.
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The public firm can nowhere maintain itself in free competition with the private firm; it is possible today only where it has a monopoly that excludes competition. Even that alone is evidence of its lesser economic productivity.
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Each epoch has found in the Gospels what it sought to find there, and has overlooked what it wished to overlook.
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