As time goes on, I get more and more convinced that the right method of investment is to put fairly large sums into enterprises which one thinks one knows something about and in the management of which one thoroughly believes.
But my lord, when we addressed this issue a few years ago, didn't you argue the other side?" He said, "That's true, but when I get more evidence I sometimes change my mind. What do you do?
Interpretation
What this quote means
This quote emphasizes the importance of being open-minded and willing to change one's perspective based on new evidence.
In this quote, John Maynard Keynes reflects on the intellectual honesty required in discourse and decision-making. He acknowledges that his views have evolved as he has encountered new evidence, prompting a change in his stance on an issue. This illustrates the necessity of adaptability in thought and highlights the value of critical thinking, suggesting that one should not be rigidly attached to previous beliefs when presented with compelling new information.
Themes
In practice
Example use cases
This quote can be used during a debate to emphasize the importance of adapting one's viewpoint based on new information.
More from John Maynard Keynes
All quotes →The ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is generally understood. Indeed, the world is ruled by little else.
The disruptive powers of excessive national fecundity may have played a greater part in bursting the bonds of convention than either the power of ideas or the errors of autocracy.
We will not have any more crashes in our time.
This long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead. Economists set themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us that when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again.
The book, as it stands, seems to me to be one of the most frightful muddles I have ever read, with scarcely a sound proposition in it beginning with page 45 [Hayek provided historical background up to page 45; after that came his theoretical model], and yet it remains a book of some interest, which is likely to leave its mark on the mind of the reader. It is an extraordinary example of how, starting with a mistake, a remorseless logician can end up in bedlam.
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